Oregon

Posted at 11:02pm on May 20, 2008 Oregon Results Open Thread.

And doesn't Barry wish he was going to win this like Hillary won Kentucky.

By Moe Lane

[UPDATE: Only because it's immediately available: with 17% in, its 61/39 Obama, which is 22 points, and heavy urban. CNN projects Obama the winner. - Moe Lane]

He'll still win, of course - I'm going to say by at least 10 - but he needs a bit more than that to make up the popular vote hit that he took today. And may I thank Howard Dean, once again, for making Michigan and Florida such contentious issues?

Results here: I'm going to go take a nap.

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Posted at 8:56am on May 19, 2008 Recalibration Watch, 05/19/2008 (Obama Campaign) [Updated]

CC: Rhetoric and Agitprop, West Coast Regional, & Bitter Flyover States Regional Divisions.

By Moe Lane

[In what will no doubt relieve the the Obama campaign, two new polls have come through with two solid double-digit wins for him in Oregon. Always a thrill a minute for our Democratic colleagues, huh? - Moe Lane]

Good morning.

We have received reports showing concern over American Research Group's forecast yesterday of 50/45 the Obama in Oregon, and 65/29 Clinton in Kentucky. We would like to remind our operatives that ARG has been notoriously bad this election cycle in picking a winner, so be sure to mention that often.

Particularly since, according to Suffolk, it's 45/41 the Obama in Oregon and 51/25 Clinton in Kentucky. Accordingly, please be sure to also use the words "outlier" and "statistical blips," emphasize that Oregon uses exclusively a [mail]-in ballot, immediately switch to a narrative where the Obama was always going to have a fight in Oregon, and of course redouble all efforts to insist that a bare majority of pledged delegates in a reduced primary total gives the Obama a moral right to his Party's nomination.

Thank you for your attention in this matter.

Hope and change,

The the Obama Campaign

PS: And for the love of Barack, don't talk about thermostat regulation. People are going to wonder why we even care, given the whole global warming thing.

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Posted at 7:31pm on Dec. 11, 2007 OR SEN: Merkley against Tax Refunds; That's a kicker

By Soren Dayton

Oregon has one of the best constitutional amendments that I've ever heard of. From today's Statesmen Journal:

The Legislature created the kicker in 1979 and voters elevated it to the Oregon Constitution in 2000. Since then, whenever state government collects 2 percent more money than it needs to pay the bills, the excess ends up back where it started -- in the taxpayers' pockets.

Since it began, the kicker has returned $2.6 billion back to hardworking Oregon families. This year, the average Oregonian can expect a check of more than $600.

Sign me up for that.

So why does Jeff Merkley (D-OR), the Dem's 8th choice to run against Sen. Gordon Smith (R-OR) want to not send money back to the taxpayers? Read on.

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